1. Joint Modeling
1.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.01 1.04
## LDevsum 1.01 1.03
## dh0 2.26 4.47
## dh1 2.03 3.83
## dh2 1.15 1.55
## dl0 1.60 2.78
## dl1 1.44 2.53
## dl2 1.06 1.27
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1.74
1.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
1.4 WAIC results
| LevelH | LevelL | |
|---|---|---|
| DIC | 1223.23311 | 22091.4702 |
| DIC3 | 1159.15231 | 22157.2817 |
| PWAIC | 43.55523 | 237.6256 |
| WAIC | 1186.24757 | 22178.4975 |
2. Separate Modeling of High-Level
2.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum 1.03 1.13
## LDevsum 1.01 1.02
## dh0 2.51 5.01
## dh1 7.57 20.60
## dh2 4.89 15.02
## dl0 1.20 1.69
## dl1 1.16 1.55
## dl2 1.09 1.32
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 4.87
2.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
2.4 WAIC results
| H2 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 1375.85669 |
| DIC3 | 1245.71574 |
| PWAIC | 90.38495 |
| WAIC | 1314.91290 |
3. Separate Modeling for Low-level
3.1 Trace plots for convergence check
The current MCMC setting is:
- 300000 iteration;
- 200000 burn-in;
- 100 thinning.
3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check
## Potential scale reduction factors:
##
## Point est. Upper C.I.
## Devsum 0.999 1.00
## LDevsum 1.000 1.00
## dl0 1.001 1.01
## dl1 1.003 1.02
## dl2 1.003 1.02
##
## Multivariate psrf
##
## 1
3.3 ACF Plots
Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:
- Total deviance;
- Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.
3.4 WAIC results
| L2 | |
|---|---|
| DIC | 22218.8518 |
| DIC3 | 22261.9146 |
| PWAIC | 294.4887 |
| WAIC | 22293.6689 |